Author: Dr. Fiona Campbell PhD Economics Former Bloomberg FX News Analyst and News Trading Specialist. Evidence Grade A.
Forex News Trading 2026
Economic data releases create the most dramatic and tradeable moves in forex markets. Evidence Grade A: the 12 highest-impact news events per month account for 67% of all pip moves exceeding 50 pips in EUR/USD per analysis of 10 years of data by DailyFX Research 2025.
The Most Important Forex News Events
US Non-Farm Payrolls (first Friday monthly): average 80-pip move in EUR/USD. Federal Reserve and ECB rate decisions: average 120-pip move. US CPI inflation: average 65-pip move. GDP advance estimate: average 45-pip move. FOMC meeting minutes: average 40-pip move. Jackson Hole symposium: can produce multi-day trends. Evidence Grade A: currency pairs widen spreads by an average of 3-8x during NFP release creating significant slippage risk per broker data 2025.
News Trading Strategies
Straddle strategy: place buy stop and sell stop orders either side of current price before news release trade whichever direction breaks out. Post-news retracement: wait for the initial spike to fade then trade in the direction of the release. Sentiment-based: if news beats expectation significantly but currency does not rally this divergence signals a sell. Evidence Grade B: straddle strategies produce positive expectancy in 7 of 12 major news events per systematic backtesting 2025.
About the Author
Dr. Fiona Campbell was Bloomberg FX News Analyst for 9 years and holds a PhD in Economics from University College London. She developed news trading algorithms used by three systematic hedge funds.
About the Author
